What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023?

Abstract September–November (e.g., autumn) 2023 produced the fewest western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) since 1951, likely as a joint response to El Niño and a warm phase of the North Pacific Mode (NPM). Decreases in both TC genesis frequency and two genesis potential indices (GPIs)...
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Autor*in:	Song, Jinjie [verfasserIn] Klotzbach, Philip J. [verfasserIn] Wei, Na [verfasserIn] Duan, Yihong [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2024

Schlagwörter:	Tropical cyclone Western North Pacific ENSO North Pacific Mode

Anmerkung:	© The Author(s) 2024

Übergeordnetes Werk:	Enthalten in: Geoscience Letters - Springer International Publishing, 2014, 11(2024), 1 vom: 08. Aug.
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:11 ; year:2024 ; number:1 ; day:08 ; month:08

Links:	Volltext

DOI / URN:	10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w

Katalog-ID:	SPR056902786

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520			\|a Abstract September–November (e.g., autumn) 2023 produced the fewest western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) since 1951, likely as a joint response to El Niño and a warm phase of the North Pacific Mode (NPM). Decreases in both TC genesis frequency and two genesis potential indices (GPIs) over the western WNP were likely the result of El Niño-induced and warm NPM-induced negative low-level relative vorticity anomalies. Over the eastern WNP, TC genesis and GPI reductions were also associated with vorticity decreases over the eastern WNP, where the TC-suppressing effect of the warm NPM surpassed the TC-favoring effect of El Niño. The changes in vorticity were further linked to anomalous anticyclones centered over the South China Sea and the midlatitude central North Pacific. A linear combination of the responses to El Niño and a warm NPM can explain the changes in TC genesis and low-level circulation over most of the WNP in 2023, except east of 160°E where other climate modes may have played more of a role.
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allfields	10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w doi (DE-627)SPR056902786 (SPR)s40562-024-00350-w-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ Song, Jinjie verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-3948-8894 aut What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023? 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2024 Abstract September–November (e.g., autumn) 2023 produced the fewest western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) since 1951, likely as a joint response to El Niño and a warm phase of the North Pacific Mode (NPM). Decreases in both TC genesis frequency and two genesis potential indices (GPIs) over the western WNP were likely the result of El Niño-induced and warm NPM-induced negative low-level relative vorticity anomalies. Over the eastern WNP, TC genesis and GPI reductions were also associated with vorticity decreases over the eastern WNP, where the TC-suppressing effect of the warm NPM surpassed the TC-favoring effect of El Niño. The changes in vorticity were further linked to anomalous anticyclones centered over the South China Sea and the midlatitude central North Pacific. A linear combination of the responses to El Niño and a warm NPM can explain the changes in TC genesis and low-level circulation over most of the WNP in 2023, except east of 160°E where other climate modes may have played more of a role. Tropical cyclone (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 North Pacific Mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Klotzbach, Philip J. verfasserin aut Wei, Na verfasserin aut Duan, Yihong verfasserin aut Enthalten in Geoscience Letters Springer International Publishing, 2014 11(2024), 1 vom: 08. Aug. (DE-627)780381343 (DE-600)2760757-4 2196-4092 nnns volume:11 year:2024 number:1 day:08 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w X:SPRINGER Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-AST SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 11 2024 1 08 08
spelling	10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w doi (DE-627)SPR056902786 (SPR)s40562-024-00350-w-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ Song, Jinjie verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-3948-8894 aut What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023? 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2024 Abstract September–November (e.g., autumn) 2023 produced the fewest western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) since 1951, likely as a joint response to El Niño and a warm phase of the North Pacific Mode (NPM). Decreases in both TC genesis frequency and two genesis potential indices (GPIs) over the western WNP were likely the result of El Niño-induced and warm NPM-induced negative low-level relative vorticity anomalies. Over the eastern WNP, TC genesis and GPI reductions were also associated with vorticity decreases over the eastern WNP, where the TC-suppressing effect of the warm NPM surpassed the TC-favoring effect of El Niño. The changes in vorticity were further linked to anomalous anticyclones centered over the South China Sea and the midlatitude central North Pacific. A linear combination of the responses to El Niño and a warm NPM can explain the changes in TC genesis and low-level circulation over most of the WNP in 2023, except east of 160°E where other climate modes may have played more of a role. Tropical cyclone (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 North Pacific Mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Klotzbach, Philip J. verfasserin aut Wei, Na verfasserin aut Duan, Yihong verfasserin aut Enthalten in Geoscience Letters Springer International Publishing, 2014 11(2024), 1 vom: 08. Aug. (DE-627)780381343 (DE-600)2760757-4 2196-4092 nnns volume:11 year:2024 number:1 day:08 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w X:SPRINGER Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-AST SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 11 2024 1 08 08
allfields_unstemmed	10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w doi (DE-627)SPR056902786 (SPR)s40562-024-00350-w-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ Song, Jinjie verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-3948-8894 aut What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023? 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2024 Abstract September–November (e.g., autumn) 2023 produced the fewest western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) since 1951, likely as a joint response to El Niño and a warm phase of the North Pacific Mode (NPM). Decreases in both TC genesis frequency and two genesis potential indices (GPIs) over the western WNP were likely the result of El Niño-induced and warm NPM-induced negative low-level relative vorticity anomalies. Over the eastern WNP, TC genesis and GPI reductions were also associated with vorticity decreases over the eastern WNP, where the TC-suppressing effect of the warm NPM surpassed the TC-favoring effect of El Niño. The changes in vorticity were further linked to anomalous anticyclones centered over the South China Sea and the midlatitude central North Pacific. A linear combination of the responses to El Niño and a warm NPM can explain the changes in TC genesis and low-level circulation over most of the WNP in 2023, except east of 160°E where other climate modes may have played more of a role. Tropical cyclone (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 North Pacific Mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Klotzbach, Philip J. verfasserin aut Wei, Na verfasserin aut Duan, Yihong verfasserin aut Enthalten in Geoscience Letters Springer International Publishing, 2014 11(2024), 1 vom: 08. Aug. (DE-627)780381343 (DE-600)2760757-4 2196-4092 nnns volume:11 year:2024 number:1 day:08 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w X:SPRINGER Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-AST SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 11 2024 1 08 08
allfieldsGer	10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w doi (DE-627)SPR056902786 (SPR)s40562-024-00350-w-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ Song, Jinjie verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-3948-8894 aut What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023? 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2024 Abstract September–November (e.g., autumn) 2023 produced the fewest western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) since 1951, likely as a joint response to El Niño and a warm phase of the North Pacific Mode (NPM). Decreases in both TC genesis frequency and two genesis potential indices (GPIs) over the western WNP were likely the result of El Niño-induced and warm NPM-induced negative low-level relative vorticity anomalies. Over the eastern WNP, TC genesis and GPI reductions were also associated with vorticity decreases over the eastern WNP, where the TC-suppressing effect of the warm NPM surpassed the TC-favoring effect of El Niño. The changes in vorticity were further linked to anomalous anticyclones centered over the South China Sea and the midlatitude central North Pacific. A linear combination of the responses to El Niño and a warm NPM can explain the changes in TC genesis and low-level circulation over most of the WNP in 2023, except east of 160°E where other climate modes may have played more of a role. Tropical cyclone (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 North Pacific Mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Klotzbach, Philip J. verfasserin aut Wei, Na verfasserin aut Duan, Yihong verfasserin aut Enthalten in Geoscience Letters Springer International Publishing, 2014 11(2024), 1 vom: 08. Aug. (DE-627)780381343 (DE-600)2760757-4 2196-4092 nnns volume:11 year:2024 number:1 day:08 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w X:SPRINGER Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-AST SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 11 2024 1 08 08
allfieldsSound	10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w doi (DE-627)SPR056902786 (SPR)s40562-024-00350-w-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ Song, Jinjie verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-3948-8894 aut What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023? 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2024 Abstract September–November (e.g., autumn) 2023 produced the fewest western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) since 1951, likely as a joint response to El Niño and a warm phase of the North Pacific Mode (NPM). Decreases in both TC genesis frequency and two genesis potential indices (GPIs) over the western WNP were likely the result of El Niño-induced and warm NPM-induced negative low-level relative vorticity anomalies. Over the eastern WNP, TC genesis and GPI reductions were also associated with vorticity decreases over the eastern WNP, where the TC-suppressing effect of the warm NPM surpassed the TC-favoring effect of El Niño. The changes in vorticity were further linked to anomalous anticyclones centered over the South China Sea and the midlatitude central North Pacific. A linear combination of the responses to El Niño and a warm NPM can explain the changes in TC genesis and low-level circulation over most of the WNP in 2023, except east of 160°E where other climate modes may have played more of a role. Tropical cyclone (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 North Pacific Mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Klotzbach, Philip J. verfasserin aut Wei, Na verfasserin aut Duan, Yihong verfasserin aut Enthalten in Geoscience Letters Springer International Publishing, 2014 11(2024), 1 vom: 08. Aug. (DE-627)780381343 (DE-600)2760757-4 2196-4092 nnns volume:11 year:2024 number:1 day:08 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w X:SPRINGER Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-AST SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 11 2024 1 08 08
language	English
source	Enthalten in Geoscience Letters 11(2024), 1 vom: 08. Aug. volume:11 year:2024 number:1 day:08 month:08
sourceStr	Enthalten in Geoscience Letters 11(2024), 1 vom: 08. Aug. volume:11 year:2024 number:1 day:08 month:08
format_phy_str_mv	Article
institution	findex.gbv.de
topic_facet	Tropical cyclone Western North Pacific ENSO North Pacific Mode
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container_title	Geoscience Letters
authorswithroles_txt_mv	Song, Jinjie @@aut@@ Klotzbach, Philip J. @@aut@@ Wei, Na @@aut@@ Duan, Yihong @@aut@@
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author	Song, Jinjie
spellingShingle	Song, Jinjie ddc 550 misc Tropical cyclone misc Western North Pacific misc ENSO misc North Pacific Mode What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023?
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topic_title	550 VZ What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023? Tropical cyclone (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 North Pacific Mode (dpeaa)DE-He213
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title	What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023?
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title_full	What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023?
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author_browse	Song, Jinjie Klotzbach, Philip J. Wei, Na Duan, Yihong
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title_sort	what caused the record-low frequency of western north pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023?
title_auth	What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023?
abstract	Abstract September–November (e.g., autumn) 2023 produced the fewest western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) since 1951, likely as a joint response to El Niño and a warm phase of the North Pacific Mode (NPM). Decreases in both TC genesis frequency and two genesis potential indices (GPIs) over the western WNP were likely the result of El Niño-induced and warm NPM-induced negative low-level relative vorticity anomalies. Over the eastern WNP, TC genesis and GPI reductions were also associated with vorticity decreases over the eastern WNP, where the TC-suppressing effect of the warm NPM surpassed the TC-favoring effect of El Niño. The changes in vorticity were further linked to anomalous anticyclones centered over the South China Sea and the midlatitude central North Pacific. A linear combination of the responses to El Niño and a warm NPM can explain the changes in TC genesis and low-level circulation over most of the WNP in 2023, except east of 160°E where other climate modes may have played more of a role. © The Author(s) 2024
abstractGer	Abstract September–November (e.g., autumn) 2023 produced the fewest western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) since 1951, likely as a joint response to El Niño and a warm phase of the North Pacific Mode (NPM). Decreases in both TC genesis frequency and two genesis potential indices (GPIs) over the western WNP were likely the result of El Niño-induced and warm NPM-induced negative low-level relative vorticity anomalies. Over the eastern WNP, TC genesis and GPI reductions were also associated with vorticity decreases over the eastern WNP, where the TC-suppressing effect of the warm NPM surpassed the TC-favoring effect of El Niño. The changes in vorticity were further linked to anomalous anticyclones centered over the South China Sea and the midlatitude central North Pacific. A linear combination of the responses to El Niño and a warm NPM can explain the changes in TC genesis and low-level circulation over most of the WNP in 2023, except east of 160°E where other climate modes may have played more of a role. © The Author(s) 2024
abstract_unstemmed	Abstract September–November (e.g., autumn) 2023 produced the fewest western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) since 1951, likely as a joint response to El Niño and a warm phase of the North Pacific Mode (NPM). Decreases in both TC genesis frequency and two genesis potential indices (GPIs) over the western WNP were likely the result of El Niño-induced and warm NPM-induced negative low-level relative vorticity anomalies. Over the eastern WNP, TC genesis and GPI reductions were also associated with vorticity decreases over the eastern WNP, where the TC-suppressing effect of the warm NPM surpassed the TC-favoring effect of El Niño. The changes in vorticity were further linked to anomalous anticyclones centered over the South China Sea and the midlatitude central North Pacific. A linear combination of the responses to El Niño and a warm NPM can explain the changes in TC genesis and low-level circulation over most of the WNP in 2023, except east of 160°E where other climate modes may have played more of a role. © The Author(s) 2024
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title_short	What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023?
url	https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40562-024-00350-w
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author2	Klotzbach, Philip J. Wei, Na Duan, Yihong
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up_date	2024-08-09T04:49:36.241Z
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What caused the record-low frequency of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in autumn 2023?

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