Enhancing spatiotemporal paleoclimate reconstructions of hydroclimate across the Mediterranean over the last millennium
Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term pa...
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| Autor*in: |
Anchukaitis, Kevin J. [verfasserIn] Touchan, Ramzi [verfasserIn] Meko, David M. [verfasserIn] Kherchouche, Dalila [verfasserIn] Slimani, Said [verfasserIn] Sivrikaya, Fatih [verfasserIn] Ilmen, Rachid [verfasserIn] Mitsopoulos, Ioannis [verfasserIn] Stephan, Jean [verfasserIn] Attieh, Jihad [verfasserIn] Hasnaoui, Foued [verfasserIn] Camarero, J. Julio [verfasserIn] Sánchez-Salguero, Raúl [verfasserIn] Guibal, Frederic [verfasserIn] Piermattei, Alma [verfasserIn] Christou, Andreas [verfasserIn] Krcmaric, Jordan [verfasserIn] Cook, Benjamin I. [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2024 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Climate dynamics - Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986, 62(2024), 6 vom: 27. März, Seite 5351-5371 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:62 ; year:2024 ; number:6 ; day:27 ; month:03 ; pages:5351-5371 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 |
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SPR057069034 |
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| 520 | |a Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising $$\text {CO}_{2}$$ on droughts. Here we provide expanded context for recent and future hydroclimate changes with a new high-resolution (0.5$$^o$$) spatial reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) using a tree-ring network that spans much of the last millennium. This network provides new perspective on the existing Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) and allows us to characterize differences between OWDA and our reconstruction. In light of the uncertainties we identify, we also reexamine previous conclusions about the severity of recent droughts in the context of earlier centuries. We find that, in both the western Mediterranean and the Levant, recent dry periods remain the worst in at least the last 500 years, but our assessment of the significance and confidence in this finding is affected by differences in the tree-ring networks used for the reconstructions. Long millennium-length hydroclimate reconstructions in the Mediterranean do provide the opportunity to understand variability and trends in the hydroclimate of the region, but extant uncertainties arising from the existing tree-ring chronology network and methodological choices call attention to locations that require further proxy collection, chronology updates, and statistical scrutiny. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Drought |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Megadrought |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Dendrochronology |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Uncertainty |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Hydroclimate |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Mediterranean |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Touchan, Ramzi |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Meko, David M. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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| 700 | 1 | |a Slimani, Said |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Sivrikaya, Fatih |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Ilmen, Rachid |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Mitsopoulos, Ioannis |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Stephan, Jean |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Attieh, Jihad |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Hasnaoui, Foued |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Camarero, J. Julio |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Sánchez-Salguero, Raúl |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Guibal, Frederic |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Piermattei, Alma |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Christou, Andreas |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Krcmaric, Jordan |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Cook, Benjamin I. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 doi (DE-627)SPR057069034 (SPR)s00382-024-07166-6-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 38.80 bkl Anchukaitis, Kevin J. verfasserin (orcid)0000-0002-8509-8080 aut Enhancing spatiotemporal paleoclimate reconstructions of hydroclimate across the Mediterranean over the last millennium 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising $$\text {CO}_{2}$$ on droughts. Here we provide expanded context for recent and future hydroclimate changes with a new high-resolution (0.5$$^o$$) spatial reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) using a tree-ring network that spans much of the last millennium. This network provides new perspective on the existing Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) and allows us to characterize differences between OWDA and our reconstruction. In light of the uncertainties we identify, we also reexamine previous conclusions about the severity of recent droughts in the context of earlier centuries. We find that, in both the western Mediterranean and the Levant, recent dry periods remain the worst in at least the last 500 years, but our assessment of the significance and confidence in this finding is affected by differences in the tree-ring networks used for the reconstructions. Long millennium-length hydroclimate reconstructions in the Mediterranean do provide the opportunity to understand variability and trends in the hydroclimate of the region, but extant uncertainties arising from the existing tree-ring chronology network and methodological choices call attention to locations that require further proxy collection, chronology updates, and statistical scrutiny. Drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Megadrought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Dendrochronology (dpeaa)DE-He213 Uncertainty (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hydroclimate (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mediterranean (dpeaa)DE-He213 Touchan, Ramzi verfasserin aut Meko, David M. verfasserin aut Kherchouche, Dalila verfasserin aut Slimani, Said verfasserin aut Sivrikaya, Fatih verfasserin aut Ilmen, Rachid verfasserin aut Mitsopoulos, Ioannis verfasserin aut Stephan, Jean verfasserin aut Attieh, Jihad verfasserin aut Hasnaoui, Foued verfasserin aut Camarero, J. Julio verfasserin aut Sánchez-Salguero, Raúl verfasserin aut Guibal, Frederic verfasserin aut Piermattei, Alma verfasserin aut Christou, Andreas verfasserin aut Krcmaric, Jordan verfasserin aut Cook, Benjamin I. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986 62(2024), 6 vom: 27. 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10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 doi (DE-627)SPR057069034 (SPR)s00382-024-07166-6-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 38.80 bkl Anchukaitis, Kevin J. verfasserin (orcid)0000-0002-8509-8080 aut Enhancing spatiotemporal paleoclimate reconstructions of hydroclimate across the Mediterranean over the last millennium 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising $$\text {CO}_{2}$$ on droughts. Here we provide expanded context for recent and future hydroclimate changes with a new high-resolution (0.5$$^o$$) spatial reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) using a tree-ring network that spans much of the last millennium. This network provides new perspective on the existing Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) and allows us to characterize differences between OWDA and our reconstruction. In light of the uncertainties we identify, we also reexamine previous conclusions about the severity of recent droughts in the context of earlier centuries. We find that, in both the western Mediterranean and the Levant, recent dry periods remain the worst in at least the last 500 years, but our assessment of the significance and confidence in this finding is affected by differences in the tree-ring networks used for the reconstructions. Long millennium-length hydroclimate reconstructions in the Mediterranean do provide the opportunity to understand variability and trends in the hydroclimate of the region, but extant uncertainties arising from the existing tree-ring chronology network and methodological choices call attention to locations that require further proxy collection, chronology updates, and statistical scrutiny. Drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Megadrought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Dendrochronology (dpeaa)DE-He213 Uncertainty (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hydroclimate (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mediterranean (dpeaa)DE-He213 Touchan, Ramzi verfasserin aut Meko, David M. verfasserin aut Kherchouche, Dalila verfasserin aut Slimani, Said verfasserin aut Sivrikaya, Fatih verfasserin aut Ilmen, Rachid verfasserin aut Mitsopoulos, Ioannis verfasserin aut Stephan, Jean verfasserin aut Attieh, Jihad verfasserin aut Hasnaoui, Foued verfasserin aut Camarero, J. Julio verfasserin aut Sánchez-Salguero, Raúl verfasserin aut Guibal, Frederic verfasserin aut Piermattei, Alma verfasserin aut Christou, Andreas verfasserin aut Krcmaric, Jordan verfasserin aut Cook, Benjamin I. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986 62(2024), 6 vom: 27. März, Seite 5351-5371 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:62 year:2024 number:6 day:27 month:03 pages:5351-5371 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 X:SPRINGER Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 VZ AR 62 2024 6 27 03 5351-5371 |
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10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 doi (DE-627)SPR057069034 (SPR)s00382-024-07166-6-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 38.80 bkl Anchukaitis, Kevin J. verfasserin (orcid)0000-0002-8509-8080 aut Enhancing spatiotemporal paleoclimate reconstructions of hydroclimate across the Mediterranean over the last millennium 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising $$\text {CO}_{2}$$ on droughts. Here we provide expanded context for recent and future hydroclimate changes with a new high-resolution (0.5$$^o$$) spatial reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) using a tree-ring network that spans much of the last millennium. This network provides new perspective on the existing Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) and allows us to characterize differences between OWDA and our reconstruction. In light of the uncertainties we identify, we also reexamine previous conclusions about the severity of recent droughts in the context of earlier centuries. We find that, in both the western Mediterranean and the Levant, recent dry periods remain the worst in at least the last 500 years, but our assessment of the significance and confidence in this finding is affected by differences in the tree-ring networks used for the reconstructions. Long millennium-length hydroclimate reconstructions in the Mediterranean do provide the opportunity to understand variability and trends in the hydroclimate of the region, but extant uncertainties arising from the existing tree-ring chronology network and methodological choices call attention to locations that require further proxy collection, chronology updates, and statistical scrutiny. Drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Megadrought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Dendrochronology (dpeaa)DE-He213 Uncertainty (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hydroclimate (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mediterranean (dpeaa)DE-He213 Touchan, Ramzi verfasserin aut Meko, David M. verfasserin aut Kherchouche, Dalila verfasserin aut Slimani, Said verfasserin aut Sivrikaya, Fatih verfasserin aut Ilmen, Rachid verfasserin aut Mitsopoulos, Ioannis verfasserin aut Stephan, Jean verfasserin aut Attieh, Jihad verfasserin aut Hasnaoui, Foued verfasserin aut Camarero, J. Julio verfasserin aut Sánchez-Salguero, Raúl verfasserin aut Guibal, Frederic verfasserin aut Piermattei, Alma verfasserin aut Christou, Andreas verfasserin aut Krcmaric, Jordan verfasserin aut Cook, Benjamin I. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986 62(2024), 6 vom: 27. März, Seite 5351-5371 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:62 year:2024 number:6 day:27 month:03 pages:5351-5371 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 X:SPRINGER Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 VZ AR 62 2024 6 27 03 5351-5371 |
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10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 doi (DE-627)SPR057069034 (SPR)s00382-024-07166-6-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 38.80 bkl Anchukaitis, Kevin J. verfasserin (orcid)0000-0002-8509-8080 aut Enhancing spatiotemporal paleoclimate reconstructions of hydroclimate across the Mediterranean over the last millennium 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising $$\text {CO}_{2}$$ on droughts. Here we provide expanded context for recent and future hydroclimate changes with a new high-resolution (0.5$$^o$$) spatial reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) using a tree-ring network that spans much of the last millennium. This network provides new perspective on the existing Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) and allows us to characterize differences between OWDA and our reconstruction. In light of the uncertainties we identify, we also reexamine previous conclusions about the severity of recent droughts in the context of earlier centuries. We find that, in both the western Mediterranean and the Levant, recent dry periods remain the worst in at least the last 500 years, but our assessment of the significance and confidence in this finding is affected by differences in the tree-ring networks used for the reconstructions. Long millennium-length hydroclimate reconstructions in the Mediterranean do provide the opportunity to understand variability and trends in the hydroclimate of the region, but extant uncertainties arising from the existing tree-ring chronology network and methodological choices call attention to locations that require further proxy collection, chronology updates, and statistical scrutiny. Drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Megadrought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Dendrochronology (dpeaa)DE-He213 Uncertainty (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hydroclimate (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mediterranean (dpeaa)DE-He213 Touchan, Ramzi verfasserin aut Meko, David M. verfasserin aut Kherchouche, Dalila verfasserin aut Slimani, Said verfasserin aut Sivrikaya, Fatih verfasserin aut Ilmen, Rachid verfasserin aut Mitsopoulos, Ioannis verfasserin aut Stephan, Jean verfasserin aut Attieh, Jihad verfasserin aut Hasnaoui, Foued verfasserin aut Camarero, J. Julio verfasserin aut Sánchez-Salguero, Raúl verfasserin aut Guibal, Frederic verfasserin aut Piermattei, Alma verfasserin aut Christou, Andreas verfasserin aut Krcmaric, Jordan verfasserin aut Cook, Benjamin I. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986 62(2024), 6 vom: 27. März, Seite 5351-5371 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:62 year:2024 number:6 day:27 month:03 pages:5351-5371 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 X:SPRINGER Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 VZ AR 62 2024 6 27 03 5351-5371 |
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10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 doi (DE-627)SPR057069034 (SPR)s00382-024-07166-6-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 38.80 bkl Anchukaitis, Kevin J. verfasserin (orcid)0000-0002-8509-8080 aut Enhancing spatiotemporal paleoclimate reconstructions of hydroclimate across the Mediterranean over the last millennium 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising $$\text {CO}_{2}$$ on droughts. Here we provide expanded context for recent and future hydroclimate changes with a new high-resolution (0.5$$^o$$) spatial reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) using a tree-ring network that spans much of the last millennium. This network provides new perspective on the existing Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) and allows us to characterize differences between OWDA and our reconstruction. In light of the uncertainties we identify, we also reexamine previous conclusions about the severity of recent droughts in the context of earlier centuries. We find that, in both the western Mediterranean and the Levant, recent dry periods remain the worst in at least the last 500 years, but our assessment of the significance and confidence in this finding is affected by differences in the tree-ring networks used for the reconstructions. Long millennium-length hydroclimate reconstructions in the Mediterranean do provide the opportunity to understand variability and trends in the hydroclimate of the region, but extant uncertainties arising from the existing tree-ring chronology network and methodological choices call attention to locations that require further proxy collection, chronology updates, and statistical scrutiny. Drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Megadrought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Dendrochronology (dpeaa)DE-He213 Uncertainty (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hydroclimate (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mediterranean (dpeaa)DE-He213 Touchan, Ramzi verfasserin aut Meko, David M. verfasserin aut Kherchouche, Dalila verfasserin aut Slimani, Said verfasserin aut Sivrikaya, Fatih verfasserin aut Ilmen, Rachid verfasserin aut Mitsopoulos, Ioannis verfasserin aut Stephan, Jean verfasserin aut Attieh, Jihad verfasserin aut Hasnaoui, Foued verfasserin aut Camarero, J. Julio verfasserin aut Sánchez-Salguero, Raúl verfasserin aut Guibal, Frederic verfasserin aut Piermattei, Alma verfasserin aut Christou, Andreas verfasserin aut Krcmaric, Jordan verfasserin aut Cook, Benjamin I. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986 62(2024), 6 vom: 27. März, Seite 5351-5371 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:62 year:2024 number:6 day:27 month:03 pages:5351-5371 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 X:SPRINGER Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 VZ AR 62 2024 6 27 03 5351-5371 |
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Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising $$\text {CO}_{2}$$ on droughts. 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| author |
Anchukaitis, Kevin J. |
| spellingShingle |
Anchukaitis, Kevin J. ddc 550 bkl 38.80 misc Drought misc Megadrought misc Dendrochronology misc Uncertainty misc Hydroclimate misc Mediterranean Enhancing spatiotemporal paleoclimate reconstructions of hydroclimate across the Mediterranean over the last millennium |
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Anchukaitis, Kevin J. |
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@@773@@(DE-627)268128561 |
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electronic Article |
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550 - Earth sciences |
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Enhancing spatiotemporal paleoclimate reconstructions of hydroclimate across the Mediterranean over the last millennium |
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Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising $$\text {CO}_{2}$$ on droughts. Here we provide expanded context for recent and future hydroclimate changes with a new high-resolution (0.5$$^o$$) spatial reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) using a tree-ring network that spans much of the last millennium. This network provides new perspective on the existing Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) and allows us to characterize differences between OWDA and our reconstruction. In light of the uncertainties we identify, we also reexamine previous conclusions about the severity of recent droughts in the context of earlier centuries. We find that, in both the western Mediterranean and the Levant, recent dry periods remain the worst in at least the last 500 years, but our assessment of the significance and confidence in this finding is affected by differences in the tree-ring networks used for the reconstructions. Long millennium-length hydroclimate reconstructions in the Mediterranean do provide the opportunity to understand variability and trends in the hydroclimate of the region, but extant uncertainties arising from the existing tree-ring chronology network and methodological choices call attention to locations that require further proxy collection, chronology updates, and statistical scrutiny. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising $$\text {CO}_{2}$$ on droughts. Here we provide expanded context for recent and future hydroclimate changes with a new high-resolution (0.5$$^o$$) spatial reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) using a tree-ring network that spans much of the last millennium. This network provides new perspective on the existing Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) and allows us to characterize differences between OWDA and our reconstruction. In light of the uncertainties we identify, we also reexamine previous conclusions about the severity of recent droughts in the context of earlier centuries. We find that, in both the western Mediterranean and the Levant, recent dry periods remain the worst in at least the last 500 years, but our assessment of the significance and confidence in this finding is affected by differences in the tree-ring networks used for the reconstructions. Long millennium-length hydroclimate reconstructions in the Mediterranean do provide the opportunity to understand variability and trends in the hydroclimate of the region, but extant uncertainties arising from the existing tree-ring chronology network and methodological choices call attention to locations that require further proxy collection, chronology updates, and statistical scrutiny. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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Abstract The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising $$\text {CO}_{2}$$ on droughts. Here we provide expanded context for recent and future hydroclimate changes with a new high-resolution (0.5$$^o$$) spatial reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) using a tree-ring network that spans much of the last millennium. This network provides new perspective on the existing Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) and allows us to characterize differences between OWDA and our reconstruction. In light of the uncertainties we identify, we also reexamine previous conclusions about the severity of recent droughts in the context of earlier centuries. We find that, in both the western Mediterranean and the Levant, recent dry periods remain the worst in at least the last 500 years, but our assessment of the significance and confidence in this finding is affected by differences in the tree-ring networks used for the reconstructions. Long millennium-length hydroclimate reconstructions in the Mediterranean do provide the opportunity to understand variability and trends in the hydroclimate of the region, but extant uncertainties arising from the existing tree-ring chronology network and methodological choices call attention to locations that require further proxy collection, chronology updates, and statistical scrutiny. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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| score |
7.401058 |