Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning

Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease. Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:

Autor*in:	Zhao, Xiaoxu [verfasserIn] Wei, Shuxing [verfasserIn] Pan, Yujie [verfasserIn] Qu, Kunlong [verfasserIn] Yan, Guanghao [verfasserIn] Wang, Xiya [verfasserIn] Song, Yuguo [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2024

Anmerkung:	© The Author(s) 2024

Übergeordnetes Werk:	Enthalten in: European journal of medical research - BioMed Central, 2000, 29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug.
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:29 ; year:2024 ; number:1 ; day:31 ; month:08

Links:	Volltext

DOI / URN:	10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0

Katalog-ID:	SPR057171017

Internformat


LEADER	01000naa a22002652 4500
001	SPR057171017
003	DE-627
005	20240901064703.0
007	cr uuu---uuuuu
008	240901s2024 xx \|\|\|\|\|o 00\| \|\|eng c
024	7		\|a 10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 \|2 doi
035			\|a (DE-627)SPR057171017
035			\|a (SPR)s40001-024-02005-0-e
040			\|a DE-627 \|b ger \|c DE-627 \|e rakwb
041			\|a eng
082	0	4	\|a 610 \|q VZ
100	1		\|a Zhao, Xiaoxu \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
245	1	0	\|a Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning
264		1	\|c 2024
336			\|a Text \|b txt \|2 rdacontent
337			\|a Computermedien \|b c \|2 rdamedia
338			\|a Online-Ressource \|b cr \|2 rdacarrier
500			\|a © The Author(s) 2024
520			\|a Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease.
700	1		\|a Wei, Shuxing \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
700	1		\|a Pan, Yujie \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
700	1		\|a Qu, Kunlong \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
700	1		\|a Yan, Guanghao \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
700	1		\|a Wang, Xiya \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
700	1		\|a Song, Yuguo \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
773	0	8	\|i Enthalten in \|t European journal of medical research \|d BioMed Central, 2000 \|g 29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug. \|w (DE-627)375977775 \|w (DE-600)2129989-4 \|x 2047-783X \|7 nnns
773	1	8	\|g volume:29 \|g year:2024 \|g number:1 \|g day:31 \|g month:08
856	4	0	\|u https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 \|m X:SPRINGER \|x Resolving-System \|z kostenfrei \|3 Volltext
912			\|a SYSFLAG_0
912			\|a GBV_SPRINGER
912			\|a SSG-OLC-PHA
912			\|a GBV_ILN_11
912			\|a GBV_ILN_20
912			\|a GBV_ILN_22
912			\|a GBV_ILN_23
912			\|a GBV_ILN_24
912			\|a GBV_ILN_39
912			\|a GBV_ILN_40
912			\|a GBV_ILN_60
912			\|a GBV_ILN_62
912			\|a GBV_ILN_63
912			\|a GBV_ILN_65
912			\|a GBV_ILN_69
912			\|a GBV_ILN_73
912			\|a GBV_ILN_74
912			\|a GBV_ILN_95
912			\|a GBV_ILN_105
912			\|a GBV_ILN_110
912			\|a GBV_ILN_151
912			\|a GBV_ILN_161
912			\|a GBV_ILN_170
912			\|a GBV_ILN_206
912			\|a GBV_ILN_213
912			\|a GBV_ILN_230
912			\|a GBV_ILN_285
912			\|a GBV_ILN_293
912			\|a GBV_ILN_602
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2003
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2014
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4012
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4037
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4112
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4125
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4126
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4249
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4305
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4306
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4307
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4313
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4322
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4323
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4324
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4325
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4338
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4367
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4700
951			\|a AR
952			\|d 29 \|j 2024 \|e 1 \|b 31 \|c 08

Indexfelder

author_variant	x z xz s w sw y p yp k q kq g y gy x w xw y s ys
matchkey_str	article:2047783X:2024----::alponssrdcinonnaielpegsritsiabednitenesvcruibs
hierarchy_sort_str	2024
publishDate	2024
allfields	10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 doi (DE-627)SPR057171017 (SPR)s40001-024-02005-0-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 610 VZ Zhao, Xiaoxu verfasserin aut Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2024 Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease. Wei, Shuxing verfasserin aut Pan, Yujie verfasserin aut Qu, Kunlong verfasserin aut Yan, Guanghao verfasserin aut Wang, Xiya verfasserin aut Song, Yuguo verfasserin aut Enthalten in European journal of medical research BioMed Central, 2000 29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug. (DE-627)375977775 (DE-600)2129989-4 2047-783X nnns volume:29 year:2024 number:1 day:31 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 X:SPRINGER Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 29 2024 1 31 08
spelling	10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 doi (DE-627)SPR057171017 (SPR)s40001-024-02005-0-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 610 VZ Zhao, Xiaoxu verfasserin aut Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2024 Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease. Wei, Shuxing verfasserin aut Pan, Yujie verfasserin aut Qu, Kunlong verfasserin aut Yan, Guanghao verfasserin aut Wang, Xiya verfasserin aut Song, Yuguo verfasserin aut Enthalten in European journal of medical research BioMed Central, 2000 29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug. (DE-627)375977775 (DE-600)2129989-4 2047-783X nnns volume:29 year:2024 number:1 day:31 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 X:SPRINGER Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 29 2024 1 31 08
allfields_unstemmed	10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 doi (DE-627)SPR057171017 (SPR)s40001-024-02005-0-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 610 VZ Zhao, Xiaoxu verfasserin aut Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2024 Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease. Wei, Shuxing verfasserin aut Pan, Yujie verfasserin aut Qu, Kunlong verfasserin aut Yan, Guanghao verfasserin aut Wang, Xiya verfasserin aut Song, Yuguo verfasserin aut Enthalten in European journal of medical research BioMed Central, 2000 29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug. (DE-627)375977775 (DE-600)2129989-4 2047-783X nnns volume:29 year:2024 number:1 day:31 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 X:SPRINGER Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 29 2024 1 31 08
allfieldsGer	10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 doi (DE-627)SPR057171017 (SPR)s40001-024-02005-0-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 610 VZ Zhao, Xiaoxu verfasserin aut Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2024 Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease. Wei, Shuxing verfasserin aut Pan, Yujie verfasserin aut Qu, Kunlong verfasserin aut Yan, Guanghao verfasserin aut Wang, Xiya verfasserin aut Song, Yuguo verfasserin aut Enthalten in European journal of medical research BioMed Central, 2000 29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug. (DE-627)375977775 (DE-600)2129989-4 2047-783X nnns volume:29 year:2024 number:1 day:31 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 X:SPRINGER Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 29 2024 1 31 08
allfieldsSound	10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 doi (DE-627)SPR057171017 (SPR)s40001-024-02005-0-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 610 VZ Zhao, Xiaoxu verfasserin aut Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2024 Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease. Wei, Shuxing verfasserin aut Pan, Yujie verfasserin aut Qu, Kunlong verfasserin aut Yan, Guanghao verfasserin aut Wang, Xiya verfasserin aut Song, Yuguo verfasserin aut Enthalten in European journal of medical research BioMed Central, 2000 29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug. (DE-627)375977775 (DE-600)2129989-4 2047-783X nnns volume:29 year:2024 number:1 day:31 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0 X:SPRINGER Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 29 2024 1 31 08
language	English
source	Enthalten in European journal of medical research 29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug. volume:29 year:2024 number:1 day:31 month:08
sourceStr	Enthalten in European journal of medical research 29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug. volume:29 year:2024 number:1 day:31 month:08
format_phy_str_mv	Article
institution	findex.gbv.de
dewey-raw	610
isfreeaccess_bool	true
container_title	European journal of medical research
authorswithroles_txt_mv	Zhao, Xiaoxu @@aut@@ Wei, Shuxing @@aut@@ Pan, Yujie @@aut@@ Qu, Kunlong @@aut@@ Yan, Guanghao @@aut@@ Wang, Xiya @@aut@@ Song, Yuguo @@aut@@
publishDateDaySort_date	2024-08-31T00:00:00Z
hierarchy_top_id	375977775
dewey-sort	3610
id	SPR057171017
language_de	englisch
fullrecord	<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000naa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">SPR057171017</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20240901064703.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">240901s2024 xx \|\|\|\|\|o 00\| \|\|eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)SPR057171017</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(SPR)s40001-024-02005-0-e</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">610</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Zhao, Xiaoxu</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2024</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Computermedien</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">© The Author(s) 2024</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Wei, Shuxing</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Pan, Yujie</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Qu, Kunlong</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Yan, Guanghao</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Wang, Xiya</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Song, Yuguo</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">European journal of medical research</subfield><subfield code="d">BioMed Central, 2000</subfield><subfield code="g">29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug.</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)375977775</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-600)2129989-4</subfield><subfield code="x">2047-783X</subfield><subfield code="7">nnns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:29</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2024</subfield><subfield code="g">number:1</subfield><subfield code="g">day:31</subfield><subfield code="g">month:08</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="u">https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0</subfield><subfield code="m">X:SPRINGER</subfield><subfield code="x">Resolving-System</subfield><subfield code="z">kostenfrei</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_0</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_SPRINGER</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-PHA</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_11</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_20</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_22</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_23</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_24</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_39</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_40</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_60</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_62</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_63</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_65</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_69</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_73</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_74</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_95</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_105</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_110</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_151</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_161</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_170</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_206</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_230</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_285</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_293</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_602</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2003</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2014</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4012</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4037</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4112</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4125</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4126</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4249</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4305</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4306</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4307</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4313</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4322</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4323</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4324</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4325</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4338</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4367</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4700</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">29</subfield><subfield code="j">2024</subfield><subfield code="e">1</subfield><subfield code="b">31</subfield><subfield code="c">08</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
author	Zhao, Xiaoxu
spellingShingle	Zhao, Xiaoxu ddc 610 Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning
authorStr	Zhao, Xiaoxu
ppnlink_with_tag_str_mv	@@773@@(DE-627)375977775
format	electronic Article
dewey-ones	610 - Medicine & health
delete_txt_mv	keep
author_role	aut aut aut aut aut aut aut
collection	springer
remote_str	true
illustrated	Not Illustrated
issn	2047-783X
topic_title	610 VZ Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning
topic	ddc 610
topic_unstemmed	ddc 610
topic_browse	ddc 610
format_facet	Elektronische Aufsätze Aufsätze Elektronische Ressource
format_main_str_mv	Text Zeitschrift/Artikel
carriertype_str_mv	cr
hierarchy_parent_title	European journal of medical research
hierarchy_parent_id	375977775
dewey-tens	610 - Medicine & health
hierarchy_top_title	European journal of medical research
isfreeaccess_txt	true
familylinks_str_mv	(DE-627)375977775 (DE-600)2129989-4
title	Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning
ctrlnum	(DE-627)SPR057171017 (SPR)s40001-024-02005-0-e
title_full	Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning
author_sort	Zhao, Xiaoxu
journal	European journal of medical research
journalStr	European journal of medical research
lang_code	eng
isOA_bool	true
dewey-hundreds	600 - Technology
recordtype	marc
publishDateSort	2024
contenttype_str_mv	txt
author_browse	Zhao, Xiaoxu Wei, Shuxing Pan, Yujie Qu, Kunlong Yan, Guanghao Wang, Xiya Song, Yuguo
container_volume	29
class	610 VZ
format_se	Elektronische Aufsätze
author-letter	Zhao, Xiaoxu
doi_str_mv	10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0
dewey-full	610
author2-role	verfasserin
title_sort	early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning
title_auth	Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning
abstract	Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease. © The Author(s) 2024
abstractGer	Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease. © The Author(s) 2024
abstract_unstemmed	Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease. © The Author(s) 2024
collection_details	SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700
container_issue	1
title_short	Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning
url	https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0
remote_bool	true
author2	Wei, Shuxing Pan, Yujie Qu, Kunlong Yan, Guanghao Wang, Xiya Song, Yuguo
author2Str	Wei, Shuxing Pan, Yujie Qu, Kunlong Yan, Guanghao Wang, Xiya Song, Yuguo
ppnlink	375977775
mediatype_str_mv	c
isOA_txt	true
hochschulschrift_bool	false
doi_str	10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0
up_date	2024-09-01T04:48:10.363Z
_version_	1808967758370570240
fullrecord_marcxml	<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000naa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">SPR057171017</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20240901064703.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">240901s2024 xx \|\|\|\|\|o 00\| \|\|eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)SPR057171017</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(SPR)s40001-024-02005-0-e</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">610</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Zhao, Xiaoxu</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2024</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Computermedien</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">© The Author(s) 2024</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Introduction This study aims to construct a mortality prediction model for patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in the intensive care unit (ICU), employing advanced machine learning algorithms. The goal is to identify high-risk populations early, contributing to a deeper understanding of patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. Methods We extracted NVUGIB data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v.2.2) database spanning from 2008 to 2019. Feature selection was conducted through LASSO regression, followed by training models using 11 machine learning methods. The best model was chosen based on the area under the curve (AUC). Subsequently, Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) was employed to elucidate how each factor influenced the model. Finally, a case was randomly selected, and the model was utilized to predict its mortality, demonstrating the practical application of the developed model. Results In total, 2716 patients with NVUGIB were deemed eligible for participation. Following selection, 30 out of a total of 64 clinical parameters collected on day 1 after ICU admission remained associated with prognosis and were utilized for developing machine learning models. Among the 11 constructed models, the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model demonstrated the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.853 and an accuracy of 0.839 in the validation cohort. Feature importance analysis highlighted that shock, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), renal disease, age, albumin, and alanine aminotransferase (ALP) were the top six features of the GBDT model with the most significant impact. Furthermore, SHAP force analysis illustrated how the constructed model visualized the individualized prediction of death. Conclusions Patient data from the MIMIC database were leveraged to develop a robust prognostic model for patients with NVUGIB in the ICU. The analysis using SHAP also assisted clinicians in gaining a deeper understanding of the disease.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Wei, Shuxing</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Pan, Yujie</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Qu, Kunlong</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Yan, Guanghao</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Wang, Xiya</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Song, Yuguo</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">European journal of medical research</subfield><subfield code="d">BioMed Central, 2000</subfield><subfield code="g">29(2024), 1 vom: 31. Aug.</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)375977775</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-600)2129989-4</subfield><subfield code="x">2047-783X</subfield><subfield code="7">nnns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:29</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2024</subfield><subfield code="g">number:1</subfield><subfield code="g">day:31</subfield><subfield code="g">month:08</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="u">https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-024-02005-0</subfield><subfield code="m">X:SPRINGER</subfield><subfield code="x">Resolving-System</subfield><subfield code="z">kostenfrei</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_0</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_SPRINGER</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-PHA</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_11</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_20</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_22</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_23</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_24</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_39</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_40</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_60</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_62</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_63</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_65</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_69</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_73</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_74</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_95</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_105</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_110</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_151</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_161</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_170</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_206</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_230</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_285</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_293</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_602</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2003</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2014</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4012</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4037</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4112</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4125</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4126</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4249</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4305</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4306</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4307</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4313</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4322</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4323</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4324</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4325</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4338</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4367</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4700</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">29</subfield><subfield code="j">2024</subfield><subfield code="e">1</subfield><subfield code="b">31</subfield><subfield code="c">08</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
score	7.4014044

Nicht das Richtige dabei?

Schreiben Sie uns!

Early prognosis prediction for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the intensive care unit: based on interpretable machine learning

Nicht das Richtige dabei?

Zugang & Verfügbarkeit

Vorhandene Bände

Nicht das Richtige dabei?